forecasting methodology

[Mostafa494]

Dear Prof.
Thank you for your efforts.
Would you mind giving me some more information about the methodology of forecasting used in the project. How could I determine no. of scenarios required for each case and what are the constraints for using different scenarios for PV, Wind and demand.

Many Thanks

[dan-marshman]

Hi Mostafa,

You can configure the number of scenarios (but must be the same number for all wind, demand and solar). Personally I have found ten to be a good number for full scale simulations, but would recommend starting lower than that when testing to lower the computational burden.

I would suggest reading either the Energy Economics paper or the Methods chapter of the thesis linked in the README to gain more understanding of the forecasting method.

Thanks,

Dan