Biblio_CSTAD.bib

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@Article{eilers1996flexible,
  author    = {Eilers, Paul H.~C. and Marx, Brian D.},
  title     = {{F}lexible {S}moothing with {$B$}-splines and {P}enalties (with discussion)},
  journal   = {Statistical Science},
  year      = {1996},
  volume    = {11},
  number    = {2},
  pages     = {89--102},
  owner     = {ugofil},
  publisher = {JSTOR},
  timestamp = {2016.10.06},
}

@Article{renshaw2008simulation,
  author    = {A.E. Renshaw and S. Haberman},
  title     = {{On simulation-based approaches to risk measurement in mortality with specific reference to Poisson Lee{\textendash}Carter modelling}},
  journal   = {Insurance: Mathematics and Economics},
  year      = {2008},
  volume    = {42},
  number    = {2},
  pages     = {797--816},
  month     = {apr},
  doi       = {10.1016/j.insmatheco.2007.08.009},
  publisher = {Elsevier {BV}},
}

@Article{shang2011point,
  author    = {Shang, Han Lin and Booth, Heather and Hyndman, Rob},
  title     = {Point and interval forecasts of mortality rates and life expectancy: A comparison of ten principal component methods},
  journal   = {Demographic Research},
  year      = {2011},
  volume    = {25},
  number    = {5},
  pages     = {173--214},
  owner     = {ugofil},
  timestamp = {2017.11.14},
}

@Book{riley2001rising,
  title     = {Rising life expectancy: a global history},
  publisher = {Cambridge University Press},
  year      = {2001},
  author    = {Riley, James C},
  owner     = {ugofil},
  timestamp = {2016.10.04},
}

@Book{efron1994introduction,
  title     = {An introduction to the bootstrap},
  publisher = {CRC press},
  year      = {1994},
  author    = {Efron, Bradley and Tibshirani, Robert J},
  owner     = {ugofil},
  timestamp = {2017.11.30},
}

@Article{ouellette2011changes,
  author    = {Ouellette, Nadine and Bourbeau, Robert},
  title     = {Changes in the age-at-death distribution in four low mortality countries: {A} nonparametric approach},
  journal   = {Demographic Research},
  year      = {2011},
  volume    = {25},
  pages     = {595--628},
  owner     = {ugofil},
  timestamp = {2016.10.05},
}

@TechReport{cmi2007stochastic,
  author = {{Continuous Mortality Investigation}},
  title  = {{Stochastic projection methodologies: Further progress and $P$-Spline model features, example results and implications}},
  year   = {2007},
  type   = {{Revised Working Paper 20 (November 2007)}},
  month  = nov,
}

@Article{borgan2018cohort,
  author    = {Borgan, {\O}rnulf and Keilman, Nico},
  title     = {{Do Japanese and Italian Women Live Longer than Women in Scandinavia?}},
  journal   = {European Journal of Population},
  year      = {2018},
  volume    = {35},
  number    = {1},
  pages     = {87-99},
  month     = {Feb},
  issn      = {1572-9885},
  day       = {27},
  doi       = {10.1007/s10680-018-9468-2},
  owner     = {ugofil},
  timestamp = {2018.08.13},
  url       = {https://doi.org/10.1007/s10680-018-9468-2},
}

@Article{plat2009stochastic,
  author    = {Richard Plat},
  title     = {On stochastic mortality modeling},
  journal   = {Insurance: Mathematics and Economics},
  year      = {2009},
  volume    = {45},
  number    = {3},
  pages     = {393--404},
  month     = {dec},
  doi       = {10.1016/j.insmatheco.2009.08.006},
  publisher = {Elsevier {BV}},
}

@Article{eilers2007ill,
  author    = {Eilers, Paul HC},
  title     = {Ill-posed problems with counts, the composite link model and penalized likelihood},
  journal   = {Statistical Modelling},
  year      = {2007},
  volume    = {7},
  number    = {3},
  pages     = {239--254},
  owner     = {ugofil},
  publisher = {Sage Publications India Pvt. Ltd, B-42, Panchsheel Enclave, New Delhi},
  timestamp = {2018.02.21},
}

@Article{bergeron2017coherent,
  author    = {Bergeron-Boucher, Marie-Pier and Canudas-Romo, Vladimir and Oeppen, Jim and Vaupel, James W},
  title     = {Coherent forecasts of mortality with Compositional Data Analysis},
  journal   = {Demographic Research},
  year      = {2017},
  volume    = {37},
  number    = {17},
  pages     = {527-566},
  owner     = {ugofil},
  timestamp = {2016.02.01},
}

@Article{jacobsen2006causes,
  author    = {Jacobsen, Rune and Keiding, Niels and Lynge, Elsebeth},
  title     = {Causes of death behind low life expectancy of {D}anish women},
  journal   = {Scandinavian Journal of Public Health},
  year      = {2006},
  volume    = {34},
  number    = {4},
  pages     = {432--436},
  publisher = {Sage Publications Sage UK: London, England},
}

@Book{pfaff2008analysis,
  title     = {Analysis of integrated and cointegrated time series with {R}},
  publisher = {Springer Science \& Business Media},
  year      = {2008},
  author    = {Pfaff, Bernhard},
  owner     = {ugofil},
  timestamp = {2017.05.26},
}

@Article{brouhns2002poisson,
  author    = {Brouhns, Natacha and Denuit, Michel and Vermunt, Jeroen K},
  title     = {A {P}oisson log-bilinear regression approach to the construction of projected lifetables},
  journal   = {Insurance: Mathematics and Economics},
  year      = {2002},
  volume    = {31},
  number    = {3},
  pages     = {373--393},
  owner     = {ugofil},
  publisher = {Elsevier},
  timestamp = {2017.03.15},
}

@Article{currie2004smoothing,
  author    = {Currie, Iain D and Durban, Maria and Eilers, Paul HC},
  title     = {Smoothing and forecasting mortality rates},
  journal   = {Statistical Modelling},
  year      = {2004},
  volume    = {4},
  number    = {4},
  pages     = {279--298},
  owner     = {ugofil},
  publisher = {SAGE Publications},
  timestamp = {2016.10.07},
}

@Article{barbieri2015data,
  author    = {Barbieri, Magali and Wilmoth, John R and Shkolnikov, Vladimir M and Glei, Dana and Jasilionis, Domantas and Jdanov, Dmitri and Boe, Carl and Riffe, Timothy and Grigoriev, Pavel and Winant, Celeste},
  title     = {{Data Resource Profile: The Human Mortality Database (HMD)}},
  journal   = {International Journal of Epidemiology},
  year      = {2015},
  volume    = {44},
  number    = {5},
  pages     = {1549--1556},
  owner     = {ugofil},
  publisher = {IEA},
  timestamp = {2016.12.05},
}

@Article{brillinger1986biometrics,
  author    = {Brillinger, David R},
  title     = {A biometrics invited paper with discussion: The Natural Variability of Vital Rates and Associated Statistics},
  journal   = {Biometrics},
  year      = {1986},
  volume    = {42},
  number    = {4},
  pages     = {693--734},
  owner     = {ugofil},
  publisher = {JSTOR},
  timestamp = {2016.01.04},
}

@Article{renshaw2006cohort,
  author    = {Renshaw, Arthur E and Haberman, Steven},
  title     = {{A cohort-based extension to the Lee--Carter model for mortality reduction factors}},
  journal   = {Insurance: Mathematics and Economics},
  year      = {2006},
  volume    = {38},
  number    = {3},
  pages     = {556--570},
  owner     = {ugofil},
  publisher = {Elsevier},
  timestamp = {2017.09.27},
}

@Conference{rizzi2019forecasting,
  author    = {Rizzi, Silvia and Kj{\ae}rgaard, S{\o}ren and Bergeron-Boucher, Marie-Pier and Lindahl-Jacobsen, Rune and Vaupel, J.},
  title     = {Forecasting mortality of not extinct cohorts},
  booktitle = {21st Nordic Demographic Symposium, Reykjavik (Iceland)},
  year      = {2019},
}

@Conference{zanotto2017reconstruction,
  author    = {Zanotto, Lucia and Mazzuco, Stefano},
  title     = {Reconstruction of cohort data via {EM} algorithm},
  booktitle = {XXVIII International Population Conference},
  year      = {2017},
  owner     = {ugofil},
  timestamp = {2016.06.30},
}

@Conference{oeppen2008coherent,
  author    = {Oeppen, Jim},
  title     = {Coherent forecasting of multiple-decrement life tables: a test using {J}apanese cause of death data},
  booktitle = {Compositional Data Analysis Conference},
  year      = {2008},
  owner     = {ugofil},
  timestamp = {2016.10.05},
}

@Article{fernandez1998bayesian,
  author    = {Carmen Fern{\'{a}}ndez and Mark F. J. Steel},
  title     = {On Bayesian Modeling of Fat Tails and Skewness},
  journal   = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
  year      = {1998},
  volume    = {93},
  number    = {441},
  pages     = {359--371},
  month     = {mar},
  doi       = {10.1080/01621459.1998.10474117},
  publisher = {Informa {UK} Limited},
}

@Book{mccullagh1989glm,
  title     = {Generalized Linear Models},
  publisher = {London: Chapman and Hall},
  year      = {1989},
  author    = {McCullagh, P. and Nelder, J.A.},
  owner     = {ugofil},
  timestamp = {2018.04.20},
}

@Article{chiou2009modeling,
  author    = {Jeng-Min Chiou and Hans-Georg M\"{u}ller},
  title     = {Modeling Hazard Rates as Functional Data for the Analysis of Cohort Lifetables and Mortality Forecasting},
  journal   = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
  year      = {2009},
  volume    = {104},
  number    = {486},
  pages     = {572--585},
  month     = {jun},
  doi       = {10.1198/jasa.2009.0023},
  publisher = {Informa {UK} Limited},
}

@Article{cairns2009quantitative,
  author    = {Cairns, Andrew JG and Blake, David and Dowd, Kevin and Coughlan, Guy D and Epstein, David and Ong, Alen and Balevich, Igor},
  title     = {{A quantitative comparison of stochastic mortality models using data from England and Wales and the United States}},
  journal   = {North American Actuarial Journal},
  year      = {2009},
  volume    = {13},
  number    = {1},
  pages     = {1--35},
  owner     = {ugofil},
  publisher = {Taylor \& Francis},
  timestamp = {2018.04.04},
}

@Article{oeppen2002broken,
  author    = {Oeppen, Jim and Vaupel, James W},
  title     = {Broken limits to life expectancy},
  journal   = {Science},
  year      = {2002},
  volume    = {296},
  number    = {5570},
  pages     = {1029--1031},
  owner     = {ugofil},
  timestamp = {2016.05.02},
}

@Article{pfaff2008var,
  author    = {Pfaff, Bernhard},
  title     = {{VAR, SVAR and SVEC models: Implementation within R package vars}},
  journal   = {Journal of Statistical Software},
  year      = {2008},
  volume    = {27},
  number    = {4},
  pages     = {1--32},
  owner     = {ugofil},
  timestamp = {2017.05.26},
}

@Article{bohk2017lifespan,
  author    = {Bohk-Ewald, Christina and Ebeling, Marcus and Rau, Roland},
  title     = {{Lifespan Disparity as an Additional Indicator for Evaluating Mortality Forecasts}},
  journal   = {Demography},
  year      = {2017},
  volume    = {54},
  number    = {4},
  pages     = {1559--1577},
  owner     = {ugofil},
  publisher = {Springer},
  timestamp = {2017.11.15},
}

@Article{cairns2006two,
  author    = {Cairns, Andrew JG and Blake, David and Dowd, Kevin},
  title     = {A Two-Factor Model for Stochastic Mortality with Parameter Uncertainty: Theory and Calibration},
  journal   = {Journal of Risk and Insurance},
  year      = {2006},
  volume    = {73},
  number    = {4},
  pages     = {687--718},
  owner     = {ugofil},
  publisher = {Wiley Online Library},
  timestamp = {2016.10.26},
}

@Article{canudas2010three,
  author    = {Canudas-Romo, Vladimir},
  title     = {Three measures of longevity: Time trends and record values},
  journal   = {Demography},
  year      = {2010},
  volume    = {47},
  number    = {2},
  pages     = {299--312},
  owner     = {ugofil},
  publisher = {Springer},
  timestamp = {2016.06.27},
}

@InProceedings{camarda2008warped,
  author    = {Camarda, Carlo G and Eilers, Paul HC and Gampe, Jutta},
  title     = {{A Warped Failure Time Model for Human Mortality}},
  booktitle = {Proceedings of the 23rd International Workshop of Statistical Modelling},
  year      = {2008},
  pages     = {149--154},
  owner     = {ugofil},
  timestamp = {2017.02.02},
}

@Misc{HMD,
  author    = {{Human Mortality Database}},
  title     = {{{University of California, Berkeley (USA)}} and {Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (Germany)}},
  year      = {2019},
  note      = {Available at www.mortality.org or www.humanmortality.de (data downloaded on 8 May 2019).},
  owner     = {ugofil},
  timestamp = {2016.10.05},
}

@Manual{hyndman2018forecastR,
  title     = {{forecast}: {F}orecasting functions for time series and linear models},
  author    = {Rob Hyndman and George Athanasopoulos and Christoph Bergmeir and Gabriel Caceres and Leanne Chhay and Mitchell O'Hara-Wild and Fotios Petropoulos and Slava Razbash and Earo Wang and Farah Yasmeen},
  year      = {2018},
  note      = {R package version 8.4},
  owner     = {ugofil},
  timestamp = {2018.04.16},
  url       = {http://pkg.robjhyndman.com/forecast},
}

@Article{raftery2013bayesian,
  author    = {Raftery, Adrian E. and Chunn, Jennifer L. and Gerland, Patrick and {\v{S}}ev{\v{c}}{\'i}kov{\'a}, Hana},
  title     = {Bayesian Probabilistic Projections of Life Expectancy for All Countries},
  journal   = {Demography},
  year      = {2013},
  volume    = {50},
  number    = {3},
  pages     = {777--801},
  owner     = {ugofil},
  timestamp = {2017.03.18},
}

@Article{wilmoth1996extreme,
  author    = {Wilmoth, John R and Lundstr{\"o}m, Hans},
  title     = {Extreme longevity in five countries},
  journal   = {European Journal of Population/Revue Europ{\'e}enne de D{\'e}mographie},
  year      = {1996},
  volume    = {12},
  number    = {1},
  pages     = {63--93},
  owner     = {ugofil},
  publisher = {Springer},
  timestamp = {2017.03.29},
}

@Article{ouellette2012regional,
  author    = {Nadine Ouellette and Robert Bourbeau and Carlo G. Camarda},
  title     = {Regional disparities in {C}anadian adult and old-age mortality: A comparative study based on smoothed mortality ratio surfaces and age at death distributions},
  journal   = {Canadian Studies in Population},
  year      = {2012},
  volume    = {39},
  number    = {3-4},
  pages     = {79--106},
  month     = {feb},
  doi       = {10.25336/p61p53},
  publisher = {University of Alberta Libraries},
}

@Article{lee1992modeling,
  author    = {Lee, Ronald D and Carter, Lawrence R},
  title     = {{Modeling and forecasting US mortality}},
  journal   = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
  year      = {1992},
  volume    = {87},
  number    = {419},
  pages     = {659--671},
  owner     = {ugofil},
  publisher = {Taylor \& Francis Group},
  timestamp = {2016.06.27},
}

@Article{jacobsen2002long,
  author    = {Jacobsen, R and Keiding, N and Lynge, E},
  title     = {Long term mortality trends behind low life expectancy of {D}anish women},
  journal   = {Journal of Epidemiology {\&} Community Health},
  year      = {2002},
  volume    = {56},
  number    = {3},
  pages     = {205--208},
  month     = {mar},
  doi       = {10.1136/jech.56.3.205},
  publisher = {{BMJ}},
}

@InCollection{brass1971scale,
  author    = {Brass, William},
  title     = {{O}n the {S}cale of {M}ortality},
  booktitle = {Biological Aspect of Demography},
  publisher = {Taylor \& Francis},
  year      = {1971},
  editor    = {Brass, William},
  pages     = {69--110},
  address   = {London},
  owner     = {ugofil},
  timestamp = {2016.10.26},
}

@Conference{keilman2006prediction,
  author    = {Nico Keilman and D.Q. Pham},
  title     = {Prediction intervals for {Lee-Carter}-based mortality forecasts},
  booktitle = {European Population Conference 2006, Liverpool, June 21--24, 2006},
  year      = {2006},
}

@Article{lindahl2016did,
  author    = {Lindahl-Jacobsen, Rune and Oeppen, Jim and Rizzi, Silvia and M{\"o}ller, S{\"o}ren and Zarulli, Virginia and Christensen, Kaare and Vaupel, James W},
  title     = {Why did {D}anish women's life expectancy stagnate? {T}he influence of interwar generations' smoking behaviour},
  journal   = {European Journal of Epidemiology},
  year      = {2016},
  volume    = {31},
  number    = {12},
  pages     = {1207--1211},
  owner     = {ugofil},
  publisher = {Springer},
  timestamp = {2017.03.15},
}

@Article{camarda2012mortalitysmooth,
  author    = {Carlo G. Camarda},
  title     = {{MortalitySmooth: An \texttt{R} Package for Smoothing Poisson Counts with $P$-Splines}},
  journal   = {Journal of Statistical Software},
  year      = {2012},
  volume    = {50},
  pages     = {1--24},
  note      = {Available on \texttt{www.jstatsoft.org/v50/i01}},
  owner     = {ugofil},
  timestamp = {2016.10.06},
}

@Book{preston2001demogr,
  title     = {Demography. Measuring and Modeling Population Processes},
  publisher = {Blackwell},
  year      = {2001},
  author    = {Preston, Samuel H. and Heuveline, Patrick and Guillot, Michel},
  owner     = {ugofil},
  timestamp = {2015.01.01},
}

@Book{ramsay2005FDA,
  title     = {{F}unctional {D}ata {A}nalysis},
  publisher = {Springer-Verlag},
  year      = {2005},
  author    = {Ramsay, J. O. and Silverman, B. W.},
  edition   = {2nd},
  owner     = {ugofil},
  timestamp = {2016.10.06},
}

@Article{koissi2006evaluating,
  author    = {Marie-Claire Koissi and Arnold F. Shapiro and Göran Högnäs},
  title     = {{Evaluating and extending the Lee{\textendash}Carter model for mortality forecasting: Bootstrap confidence interval}},
  journal   = {Insurance: Mathematics and Economics},
  year      = {2006},
  volume    = {38},
  number    = {1},
  pages     = {1--20},
  month     = {feb},
  doi       = {10.1016/j.insmatheco.2005.06.008},
  publisher = {Elsevier {BV}},
}

@InCollection{vaupel1994longer,
  author    = {Vaupel, James and Lundstr{\"o}m, Hans},
  title     = {Longer life expectancy? {E}vidence from {S}weden of reductions in mortality rates at advanced ages},
  booktitle = {Studies in the Economics of Aging},
  publisher = {University of Chicago Press},
  year      = {1994},
  pages     = {79--102},
  owner     = {ugofil},
  timestamp = {2017.03.29},
}

@Article{pascariu2019maximum,
  author    = {Marius D. Pascariu and Adam Lenart and Vladimir Canudas-Romo},
  title     = {The maximum entropy mortality model: forecasting mortality using statistical moments},
  journal   = {Scandinavian Actuarial Journal},
  year      = {2019},
  pages     = {1--25},
  month     = {mar},
  doi       = {10.1080/03461238.2019.1596974},
  publisher = {Informa {UK} Limited},
}

@Article{dokumentov2018bivariate,
  author    = {Alexander Dokumentov and Rob J. Hyndman and Leonie Tickle},
  title     = {Bivariate smoothing of mortality surfaces with cohort and period ridges},
  journal   = {Stat},
  year      = {2018},
  volume    = {7},
  number    = {1},
  pages     = {e199},
  doi       = {10.1002/sta4.199},
  publisher = {Wiley},
}

@Article{booth2006demographic,
  author    = {Booth, Heather},
  title     = {Demographic forecasting: 1980 to 2005 in review},
  journal   = {International Journal of Forecasting},
  year      = {2006},
  volume    = {22},
  number    = {3},
  pages     = {547--581},
  owner     = {ugofil},
  publisher = {Elsevier},
  timestamp = {2017.03.18},
}

@Article{basellini2019modelling,
  author    = {Ugofilippo Basellini and Carlo Giovanni Camarda},
  title     = {Modelling and forecasting adult age-at-death distributions},
  journal   = {Population Studies},
  year      = {2019},
  volume    = {73},
  number    = {1},
  pages     = {119--138},
  doi       = {10.1080/00324728.2018.1545918},
  publisher = {Informa {UK} Limited},
}

@Book{AndreevBookDanemark,
  title     = {{E}volution of the {D}anish population from 1835 to 2000},
  publisher = {Odense University Press},
  year      = {2002},
  author    = {Andreev, Kirill F.},
  series    = {Odense Monographs on Population Aging},
  address   = {Odense - DK},
  owner     = {giancarlo},
  timestamp = {2016.08.29},
}

@InBook{ChristensenEtAlDenmarkSwedenDivergence2010,
  chapter   = {The Divergent Life-Expectancy Trends in Denmark and Sweden - and Some Potential Explanations},
  title     = {International Differences in Mortality at Older Ages},
  publisher = {National Academies Press},
  year      = {2010},
  author    = {Christensen, Kaare and Davidsen, Michael and Juel, Knud and Mortensen, Laust and Rau, Roland and Vaupel, James W.},
  address   = {Washington (DC)},
}

@Book{mckeown1976modern,
  title     = {The modern rise of population},
  publisher = {London: Edward Arnold},
  year      = {1976},
  author    = {McKeown, T.},
}

@Manual{Rcite,
  title        = {{R}: {A} {L}anguage and {E}nvironment for {S}tatistical {C}omputing},
  author       = {{R Development Core Team}},
  organization = {R Foundation for Statistical Computing},
  address      = {Vienna, Austria},
  year         = {2018},
  owner        = {ugofil},
  timestamp    = {2016.10.05},
  url          = {http://www.R-project.org},
}

@Comment{jabref-meta: databaseType:bibtex;}