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update lecture 9 links
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avehtari committed Nov 7, 2023
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Expand Up @@ -198,7 +198,7 @@ the book chapters relaed to the next lecture and assignment.
| 6\. Stan, HMC, PPL | [BDA3 Chapter 12](BDA3_notes.html#ch12) + [extra material on Stan](index.html#stan) | [2023 Lecture 6.1](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=80a36d3a-d67c-4534-a7ef-b09600b9f338), <br>[2023 Lecture 6.2](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=65bf5b2b-0a4e-4cae-ba26-b09600cb6222), <br>[Slides 6](slides/BDA_lecture_6.pdf) | [Assignment 6](assignments/assignment6.html) | `r sdate("Lecture date", "Week6")` | `r sdate("Assignment closes (23:59)", "Week6")` |
| 7\. Hierarchical models and exchangeability | [BDA3 Chapter 5](BDA3_notes.html#ch5) | [2023 Lecture 7.1](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=c1014690-1133-4232-ad0f-b0a400ba228d), <br> [2023 Lecture 7.2](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=196c3a91-3ba2-4469-ab15-b0a400ca6074),<br> [2022 Project info](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=8f0158f9-6abf-4ada-bdb7-af3800d139de), <br>[Slides 7](slides/BDA_lecture_7.pdf) | [Assignment 7](assignments/assignment7.html) | `r sdate("Lecture date", "Week8")` | `r sdate("Assignment closes (23:59)", "Week8")` |
| 8\. Model checking & cross-validation | [BDA3 Chapter 6](BDA3_notes.html#ch6), [BDA3 Chapter 7](BDA3_notes.html#ch7), [Visualization in Bayesian workflow](https://doi.org/10.1111/rssa.12378), [Practical Bayesian cross-validation](https://arxiv.org/abs/1507.04544) | [2023 Lecture 8.1](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=785ece8a-16ef-4f64-8134-b0ab00cbd1e8), <br> [2023 Lecture 8.2](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=456afda7-0e6d-4903-b0df-b0ab00da8f1e), <br>[Slides 8a](slides/BDA_lecture_8a.pdf),[Slides 8b](slides/BDA_lecture_8b.pdf) | Start project work | `r sdate("Lecture date", "Week9")` | `r sdate("Assignment closes (23:59)", "Week9")` |
| 9\. Model comparison and selection | [BDA3 Chapter 7 (not 7.2 and 7.3)](BDA3_notes.html#ch7), <br> [Practical Bayesian cross-validation](https://arxiv.org/abs/1507.04544) | [2022 Lecture 9.1](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=a67324b3-dd4d-48f0-8873-af4600cb8fd0), <br> [2022 Lecture 9.2](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=0649acb6-d782-4667-86db-af4600da8d2f), <br>[Slides 9](slides/BDA_lecture_9.pdf) | [Assignment 8](assignments/assignment8.html) | `r sdate("Lecture date", "Week10")` | `r sdate("Assignment closes (23:59)", "Week10")` |
| 9\. Model comparison, selection, and hypothesis testing | [BDA3 Chapter 7 (not 7.2 and 7.3)](BDA3_notes.html#ch7), <br> [Practical Bayesian cross-validation](https://arxiv.org/abs/1507.04544) | [2023 Lecture 9.1](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=a4961b5a-7e42-4603-8aaf-b0b200ca6295), <br> [2023 Lecture 9.2](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=a4796c79-eab2-436e-b55f-b0b200dac7ce), <br>[Slides 9](slides/BDA_lecture_9.pdf) | [Assignment 8](assignments/assignment8.html) | `r sdate("Lecture date", "Week10")` | `r sdate("Assignment closes (23:59)", "Week10")` |
| 10\. Decision analysis | [BDA3 Chapter 9](BDA3_notes.html#ch9) | [2022 Lecture 10.1](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=a22aab9c-953c-4ea8-b6ec-af4d00c9fe58), <br>[Slides 10](slides/BDA_lecture_10.pdf) | [Assignment 9](assignments/assignment9.html) | `r sdate("Lecture date", "Week11")` | `r sdate("Assignment closes (23:59)", "Week11")` |
| 11\. Normal approximation, frequency properties | [BDA3 Chapter 4](BDA3_notes.html#ch4) | [2022 Lecture 11.1](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=8cde4d40-1b77-4110-af98-af5400ca38b5), <br> [2022 Lecture 11.2](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=d83f6553-1516-475f-8898-af5400dd7b50), <br>[Slides 11](slides/BDA_lecture_11.pdf) | Project work | `r sdate("Lecture date", "Week12")` | `r sdate("Assignment closes (23:59)", "Week12")` |
| 12\. Extended topics | Optional: BDA3 Chapters [8](BDA_notes.hml#ch8), [14-18](BDA_notes.hml#ch14), and 21 | Optional: <br> [Old Lecture 12.1](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=e998b5dd-bf8e-42da-9f7c-ab1700ca2702), <br> [Old Lecture 12.2](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=c43c862a-a5a4-45da-9b27-ab1700e12012), <br>[Slides 12](slides/BDA_lecture_12.pdf) | Project work | `r sdate("Lecture date", "Week13")` | `r sdate("Assignment closes (23:59)", "Week13")` |
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -488,9 +488,8 @@ Model checking and cross-validation.
- Check [R demos](demos.html#BDA_R_demos) or [Python
demos](demos.html#BDA_Python_demos) for Chapter 6
- Additional reading material
- [Model selection](https://avehtari.github.io/modelselection/)
- [Cross-validation
FAQ](https://avehtari.github.io/modelselection/CV-FAQ.html)
FAQ](https://users.aalto.fi/~ave/CV-FAQ.html)
- No new assignment in this block
- Start [the project work](project.Rmd)
- [TA sessions](assignments.html#TA_sessions)
Expand All @@ -513,10 +512,9 @@ variable selection with projection predictive variable selection.
- replaces BDA3 Sections 7.2 and 7.3 on cross-validation
- **Lecture `r paste(sday("Lecture date", "Week10"), sdate("Lecture date", "Week10"))` 14:15-16, hall T2, CS building**
- [Slides 9](slides/BDA_lecture_9.pdf)
- Videos: [2022 Lecture 9.1](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=a67324b3-dd4d-48f0-8873-af4600cb8fd0) on PSIS-LOO and K-fold-CV, and [2022 Lecture 9.2](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=0649acb6-d782-4667-86db-af4600da8d2f) on model comparison and selection.
- Videos: [2023 Lecture 9.1](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=a4961b5a-7e42-4603-8aaf-b0b200ca6295) and [2023 Lecture 9.2](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=a4796c79-eab2-436e-b55f-b0b200dac7ce) on model comparison, selection, and hypothesis testing.
- Additional reading material
- [Model selection](https://avehtari.github.io/modelselection/)
- [CV FAQ](https://avehtari.github.io/modelselection/CV-FAQ.html)
- [CV FAQ](https://users.aalto.fi/~ave/CV-FAQ.html)
- Make and submit [Assignment 8](assignments/assignment8.html).
**`r sday("Assignment closes (23:59)", "Week10")` `r sdate("Assignment closes (23:59)", "Week10")` 23:59**
- Review Assignment 7 done by your peers before 23:59
Expand Down

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