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Work in progress sorting out payoff
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robmoffat committed May 12, 2024
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2 changes: 1 addition & 1 deletion docs/misc/Anti-Goals.md
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Expand Up @@ -48,7 +48,7 @@ Terry _busted through_ the Anti-Goal, and eventually released VVVVVV to critical

## Visualising Anti-Goals

Goals and Anti-Goals are both kinds of [Risks](../thinking/Glossary.md#risk). While Goals are "Upside" risks (the outcome is uncertain, but likely to be in your favour), Anti-Goals are "Downside" risks (again, uncertain outcome, likely to go against you): you'll want to try to navigate between these to arrive at the Goal, rather than the Anti-Goal.
Goals and Anti-Goals are both kinds of [Risks](../thinking/Glossary.md#risk). While Goals are "Upside" risks or opportunities (the outcome is uncertain, but likely to be in your favour), Anti-Goals are "Downside" risks (again, uncertain outcome, likely to go against you): you'll want to try to navigate between these to arrive at the Goal, rather than the Anti-Goal.

Here at [Risk-First](https://riskfirst.org), there's lots of talk about navigating the [Risk Landscape](../risks/Risk-Landscape.md), which you can imagine being like the terrain of a golf course (as in the diagram above).

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2 changes: 1 addition & 1 deletion docs/thinking/Consider-Payoff.md
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---
title: Consider Payoff
description: To work out what to do next, consider the upside and downside risks you're addressing, and also what risks you introduce.
description: Good software developers place shrewd bets.
url: https://riskfirst.org/thinking/Consider-Payoff

featured:
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2 changes: 1 addition & 1 deletion docs/thinking/Crisis-Mode.md
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Expand Up @@ -75,7 +75,7 @@ In 2020 the world was plunged into pandemic. Everything changed very quickly, i

The general ideas they espouse have stood the test of time but where they recommend particular technologies things are looking more shaky. [Pair Programming](../practices/Pair-Programming.md) where two developers share the same keyboard doesn't work so well anymore. However, it can be made to work over video conferencing and when we all move to augmented reality headsets perhaps there will be another configuration of this. We can now do Pair Programming with our artificial intelligence "co-pilots" - but is that managing the same risks?

The point I am making here is that while there are [technology tools to support risk management](Track-Risk.md) the idea itself is not wedded to a particular technology, culture or way of working.
The point I am making here is that while there are [technology tools to support risk management](Track-Risk.md) the idea itself is not wedded to a particular technology, culture or way of working. And, it is as old as the hills.

> "We've survived 200,000 years as humans. Don't you think there's a reason why we survived? We're good at risk management." - [Nassim Nicholas Taleb, _Author of "The Black Swan" in the New Statesman](https://www.newstatesman.com/encounter/2018/03/i-hope-goldman-sachs-bankruptcy-nassim-nicholas-taleb-skin-game)
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2 changes: 1 addition & 1 deletion docs/thinking/Evaluating-Risk.md
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Expand Up @@ -8,7 +8,7 @@ featured:
element: '<risk href="/public/templates/risk-first/redesign/risks/attendant_risk_v2.svg"><code>Urgent</code><title>Evaluating Risk</title></risk>'
tags:
- Thinking Risk-First
sidebar_position: 9
sidebar_position: 10
redirect_from:
- /Evaluating-Risk
tweet: yes
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